Market Mood Swings: Recession Probability Slides to 22% on Polymarket
Imagine a pendulum swinging from fear to cautious hope. That’s the market sentiment we’re seeing right now—a stunning drop in U.S. recession probabilities reported by Polymarket, rebounding from nearly two-thirds to just over one-fifth. Signal from the CrowdPolymarket, a decentralized bet platform, now assigns only a 22–26% chance to a recession within the next twelve…