Imagine a pendulum swinging from fear to cautious hope. That’s the market sentiment we’re seeing right now—a stunning drop in U.S. recession probabilities reported by Polymarket, rebounding from nearly two-thirds to just over one-fifth. Signal from the CrowdPolymarket, a decentralized bet platform, now assigns only a 22–26% chance to a recession within the next twelve…
The U.S. stock market experienced a significant rally in May 2025, with the S&P 500 recording its best May performance in three decades. This surge was fueled by investor optimism that President Trump may scale back the next wave of tariffs expected on April 2. Market Highlights: These figures indicate a robust market environment, with…
Deutsche Bank has revised its year-end forecast for the S&P 500, raising the target from 6,150 to 6,550. This adjustment reflects increased optimism due to reduced concerns over tariff-related earnings impacts and sustained economic strength. Strategists, led by Binky Chadha, now estimate the negative impact from tariffs to be about one-third of previous estimates. The…
